Republicans have further tilted the entire playing field to their advantage structurally. They had a 5-7% advantage in the house before, it’ll be an advantage of up to 9% for the next 10 years now.
That will mean for the Dems to “win” control of the house, they’d need to outvote Republicans by nearly 10%…only outvoting them by 5% would be a guaranteed Dem “loss”
In addition, Republicans have an advantage in the Senate and Electoral College.
The Senate had a 5 point bias in favor of Republicans in 2020.
The Electoral College had a 3.5 point bias in favor of Republicans in 2020.
Biden won the popular vote by 7 million, but was only 44,000 votes across 3 states from losing the Electoral College.
Then we get into the fact that midterms see under 50% voter turnout, and generally turnout is low by international standards.
The entire system of national governance is rigged for Republican minority rule. State governments vary, but a significant number are gerrymandered in favor of Republicans.
There will be complaints against Republican states without any comment about California, Illinois, Maryland, New York, etc. that do the exact same thing.
jvscanlan Premium Member over 2 years ago
While Republicans go for ultimate gerrymandering
dotbup over 2 years ago
Republicans have further tilted the entire playing field to their advantage structurally. They had a 5-7% advantage in the house before, it’ll be an advantage of up to 9% for the next 10 years now.
That will mean for the Dems to “win” control of the house, they’d need to outvote Republicans by nearly 10%…only outvoting them by 5% would be a guaranteed Dem “loss”
In addition, Republicans have an advantage in the Senate and Electoral College.
The Senate had a 5 point bias in favor of Republicans in 2020.
The Electoral College had a 3.5 point bias in favor of Republicans in 2020.
Biden won the popular vote by 7 million, but was only 44,000 votes across 3 states from losing the Electoral College.
Then we get into the fact that midterms see under 50% voter turnout, and generally turnout is low by international standards.
The entire system of national governance is rigged for Republican minority rule. State governments vary, but a significant number are gerrymandered in favor of Republicans.
LVObserver over 2 years ago
There will be complaints against Republican states without any comment about California, Illinois, Maryland, New York, etc. that do the exact same thing.