Trump’s smiley faced sanguine platitude word salads are very loosely based on things he might have heard from the news (and, one imagines his advisors,) much as the spray from a wood chipper could be said to be loosely based on a Stradivarius if chucked in it..
South Korea reports just over 7300 cases and 51 deaths, which is under 0.7 percent.. The recent Chinese study of 45,000 cases shows a death rate for Chinese outside of Hubei at around 0.4 percent.. The pandemic of 1918 did in fact dissipate by 1920, and the flu does retreat from temperate climes yearly in Spring..
All these are factual, but, like surgical (and n95) masks, they require proper context – and proper use.
Korea has tested almost 150,000 people of a population of just over 50 million. We have so far tested possibly 2,000 of our 330 million – it’s impossible to tell with the new obfuscation of CDC reporting.. We have absolutely no idea what the spread in the US looks like – and therefore no way to isolate or mitigate spread as the South Korean government is successfully doing – this is just asking for spread as Italy and Iran are currently experiencing..
The Chinese low mortality numbers outside Hubei are the result of truly draconian isolation measures – that the vast majority of Chinese undertook willingly. In Trump’s divicive world, does anyone see such coordination happening? Anyone..? Thought not.
Even though the influenza viral strains are among the most studied in the world, we rarely predict the predominant strains each year and we have no consensus as to why the 1918 strain behaved as it did. At this point, counting on the covid-19 coronavirus to reduce in Spring, to disappear anytime, or for an effective vaccine to be developed is the height of irresponsibility.
But we’ve learned expect no less from our dear orange leader.
John Deering and John Newcombe