And yet another “Neville Chamberlain” moment.The agreement may be the “Munich Pact” moment.So now we are waiting for the next step—the “Annexation of the rest of Czechoslavakia” moment, when the Iranians actually detonate their first atomic bomb.The Israelis may get advanced intelligence about that test and decide to act on their own to take out the Iranian nuclear program just like they did the Iraqi nuclear program back in 1981 and that alone may trigger the next major conflict in the Middle East as the Arab world uses that moment to gang up on Israel—and that outcome may be different this time from what it was in the 1950s, -60s and -70s, thereby proving Clausewitz right that “luck is also a part of military victory”.
And yet another “Neville Chamberlain” moment.The agreement may be the “Munich Pact” moment.So now we are waiting for the next step—the “Annexation of the rest of Czechoslavakia” moment, when the Iranians actually detonate their first atomic bomb.The Israelis may get advanced intelligence about that test and decide to act on their own to take out the Iranian nuclear program just like they did the Iraqi nuclear program back in 1981 and that alone may trigger the next major conflict in the Middle East as the Arab world uses that moment to gang up on Israel—and that outcome may be different this time from what it was in the 1950s, -60s and -70s, thereby proving Clausewitz right that “luck is also a part of military victory”.