Trump would never admit responsibility. He’d blame the Democrats and “MSM”. – History of deceit in the last 90 years:
In 1933, very shortly after Adolf Hitler was made chancellor of Germany, there was a "mysterious fire which destroyed the Reichstag (some said that it was caused by Hitler’s people). Hitler claimed, with no evidence, that it was the fault of the Communists, and that he needed absolute power to stop them, which he was given. We saw what happened next.
In 1999 there were bombings and fires in three apartment houses in Russia, with considerable loss of life.. A KGB Colonel named Vladimir Putin, claimed, without evidence, that it was the work of Chechnyan separatists. In a fourth apartment building, explosives were found before they could be set off. The explosives appeared to be the same type that the KGB used. The evidence was removed, but “disappeared” before it could be examined. Putin said that he needed to power to stop the “separatists” and was elected President of Russia. Several people did try to find out what exactly had happened, but they all died.
We have had riots and fires which Donald Trump claims, without evidence, that it is the work of “Antifa” and “far left thugs” and he needs to be reelected to stop them.
I don’t think that Donald Trump knows enough about history to try to copy earlier events, but I think that some of his “advisors” are.