If you live, consciously or subconsciously, a small town or rural life, you probably vote Republican. If you live, consciously or subconsciously, an urban life, you probably vote Democratic. For cities to exist, large-scale planning and organization, i.e. government, is necessary. When you live in the middle of nowhere (actually or mentally) with few neighbors, neither government, nor the need for it, are visible. Mayberry never was real, but some folks here in Virginia still think it represents the “real” America, while in reality most Americans live in or on the outskirts of the city. There is a simple way to create a permanent Conservative majority in this country: replace one-man-one-vote with one acre-one-vote. This is quite clear in any county-by-county voting map. There are more “blue” people than “red” people in this country, but more “red” dirt than “blue” dirt. Being an “outsider” is tougher in a small well-knit community than in a big city, so those who feel themselves to be “outsiders” also tend to vote Democratic. This is what is really meant by all the talk of “minorities.” This is why Republican efforts to reach out to a more diverse population usually fail: nothing they do or propose actually serves to make those who still feel themselves to be “outside looking in” feel like they belong. Demography is on the side of the Democrats; that’s reality. But never fear, both parties will continue to change as they always have. The Democratic and Republican Parties of 20 years from now may look quite different. I doubt the GOP is going to cling to its present agenda and slowly commit suicide. I doubt the Democrats will always be able to hold together their divergent elements. But whether “conservative” or “liberal”, urban diversity is going to win out over rural home-town simplicity and homogeneity. Demography is Destiny.
Apr 12, 2017